Bond Market Update

Updated: 11-Jul-25 12:18 ET
Treasuries running weak amid inflation concerns

Yields Up

  • Treasury yields continue to drift higher, with inflation concerns presumably doing today's driving. Those concerns perked up after the president said Canada will face a 35% tariff rate on August 1 for imports not covered by USMCA, that the EU will get a tariff letter, and that most countries will be paying a 15% to 20% tariff rate.
  • It has been a steady grind higher today, with all maturities under some selling pressure.
  • In conjunction with the inflation concerns, participants are also ruminating about the idea that ratcheting up tariff rates on August 1 will keep the Fed in a wait-and-see mode when it comes to cutitng rates.
  • Next week's CPI and PPI reports for June are looming large as market movers.
  • The U.S. Dollar Index is up 0.2% to 97.81.
  • Yield check:
    • 2-yr: +3 bps to 3.90%
    • 3-yr: +4 bps to 3.88%
    • 5-yr: +4 bps to 3.98%
    • 10-yr: +6 bps to 4.41%
    • 30-yr: +8 bps to 4.95%
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