Story Stocks®
- Inventories declined 2% yr/yr, but NIKE Digital traffic fell by double digits as the company transitions to a full-price strategy.
- China revenue declined 10% yr/yr, with CEO Hill citing structural challenges and weak seasonal sell-through.
- Tariff headwinds worsened: NKE now expects a $1.5 bln impact (vs. $1.0 bln prior), pressuring FY26 gross margin by 1.2 percentage points.
- Q2 revenue is expected to decline low-single-digits, suggesting a sluggish holiday season.
Briefing.com Analyst Insight:
NKE’s Q1 results provided some much-needed reassurance that its “Win Now” turnaround is gaining momentum, especially in North America wholesale, where partners have embraced new product launches. Still, the company is far from a clean recovery story. Tariff headwinds, weak consumer demand in China, and the traffic declines in NIKE Digital underscore that structural challenges remain. Management’s cautious Q2 outlook -- calling for another revenue decline -- highlights that the holiday season is unlikely to be a breakout period. While we see early signs of progress, the stock’s near-term upside is capped by macro pressures and execution risk in China and digital. NKE likely needs to deliver a few more quarters of consistent improvement before investor sentiment truly turns in its favor.